10 Sept · 12:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1609
FormWWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Skvrna
TG
🇨🇿Tomas Grmela
ELO 1500
FormLLWWW
59%
41%
🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (139)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)