10 Sept · 10:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1466
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mandrysz
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zajac
ELO 1422
FormLLLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.