10 Sept · 12:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Sebek
ELO 1327
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sebek
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1313
FormWWLWW
51%
49%
🌟Kolbusovsky covers set handicap as underdog 63% (104)
Fair odds · Sebek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H38-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.