10 Sept · 13:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Sebek
ELO 1327
FormWWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sebek
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1326
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Sebek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H2-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.