10 Sept · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1592
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Krupnik
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1534
FormLLWWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (100)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 47% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H37-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)