10 Sept · 14:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nadvornik
ELO 1659
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Nadvornik
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1612
FormWWLWL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rek🌟Nadvornik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (32)
Fair odds · Nadvornik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.