10 Sept · 13:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1581
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skvrna
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1609
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Slavik🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (139)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.