10 Sept · 13:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1651
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mrowetz
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1609
FormWWLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H10-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.