10 Sept · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1518
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Matus
TS
🇨🇿Tadeas Slivka
ELO 1436
FormLLLLW
57%
43%
🌟Matus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (65)
Fair odds · Matus
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H1-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)