10 Sept · 14:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1548
FormWLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Dzida
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1436
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)