10 Sept · 11:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1651
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Mrowetz
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1581
FormLWWLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)