10 Sept · 09:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zajac
ELO 1422
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Slivka
TS
🇨🇿Tadeas Slivka
ELO 1436
FormLLLLW
49%
51%
🌟Slivka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (20)
Fair odds · Slivka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.