10 Sept · 14:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Sebek
ELO 1327
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pour
LP
🇨🇿Lukas Pour
ELO 1377
FormWWLLL
46%
54%
🌟Pour rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (14)
Fair odds · Pour
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H10-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.