10 Sept · 12:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LP
🇨🇿Lukas Pour
ELO 1377
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pour
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1326
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
🌟Pour rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (14)
Fair odds · Pour
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H23-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.