10 Sept · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MO
🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko
ELO 1691
FormLWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Ovcharenko
MG
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1579
FormLLWWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Ovcharenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)