10 Sept · 16:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Ruzicka
ELO 1527
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mastera
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1615
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
🌟Mastera rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (16)
Fair odds · Mastera
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)