10 Sept · 18:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1585
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mastera
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1615
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
🌟Mastera rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (16)
Fair odds · Mastera
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.