10 Sept · 17:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LM
🇨🇿Ladislav Moravec
ELO 1490
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hendrych
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1512
FormLWLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Hendrych
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.