10 Sept · 17:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1727
FormWLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Moravec
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1592
FormLLWWL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~73 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+135
H2H20-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-13)