10 Sept · 17:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1587
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Skvrna
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1592
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Skvrna🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (139)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H24-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.