10 Sept · 17:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1393
FormLLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Dolezal
MD
🇨🇿Martin Dolezal
ELO 1485
FormWLWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Dolezal
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+92
H2H17-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-5)