10 Sept · 19:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1592
FormLWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Travnicek
PM
🇨🇿Patrik Marsalek
ELO 1491
FormLLLWL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Marsalek🌟Travnicek goes over total as favourite 64% (56)
Fair odds · Travnicek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)