10 Sept · 18:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1624
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Duch
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1527
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Duch
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 66% · 1.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H63-41
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (63-41)