10 Sept · 23:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MD
🇨🇿Marek Dlask
ELO 1449
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1474
FormWLWLW
48%
52%
🌟Dlask covers set handicap as underdog 62% (53)
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H41-43
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.