11 Sept · 08:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1604
FormWWWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Koutnik
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1438
FormLWWLL
63%
37%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vodal🌟Vodal covers set handicap as underdog 67% (88)
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+166
H2H17-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-14)