11 Sept · 08:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AV
🇨🇿Adam Vitasek
ELO 1490
FormLWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1601
FormWWWLW
41%
59%
🌟Vitasek stays under total as underdog 75% (12)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 41% · 2.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)