11 Sept · 10:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1502
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sindler
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1443
FormWWWWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jancak🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (100)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H20-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-10)