11 Sept · 14:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1625
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Fitl
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1546
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H7-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)