11 Sept · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1424
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1502
FormLWLWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stefek🌟Stefek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (49)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)