11 Sept · 12:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1613
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kadavy
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1692
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H19-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-3)