11 Sept · 10:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1601
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krupnik
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1574
FormLLWWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krenek🌟Krenek goes over total as underdog 68% (81)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 47% · 2.14· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H40-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.