11 Sept · 07:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AV
🇨🇿Adam Vitasek
ELO 1490
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krenek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1574
FormLLWWW
43%
57%
🌟Vitasek stays under total as underdog 75% (12)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 39% · 2.57· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)