11 Sept · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1574
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gembala
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1643
FormWWWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krenek🌟Krenek goes over total as underdog 68% (81)
Fair odds · Gembala
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H17-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-10)