11 Sept · 15:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1632
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hyza
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1594
FormWLLLW
53%
47%
🌟Rek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (54)
Fair odds · Hyza
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H7-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.