11 Sept · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1548
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Galus
MG
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1603
FormWWLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Galus
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H40-45
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)