11 Sept · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1546
FormLWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Budik
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1443
FormWLWWL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vodal🌟Budik goes over total as favourite 78% (60)
Fair odds · Budik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H13-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)