11 Sept · 15:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1709
FormLLLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Moravec
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1569
FormWLLLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~73 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+140
H2H37-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-21)