11 Sept · 16:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1709
FormLLLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Moravec
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1520
FormLLLWL
65%
35%
🌟Benes covers set handicap as underdog 62% (77)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+189
H2H14-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+189)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-10)