11 Sept · 16:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KB
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1510
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Baros
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1490
FormLLWLW
52%
48%
🌟Drozd covers set handicap as underdog 64% (33)
Fair odds · Baros
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.