Michal Lysakowski vs Maksim Ovcharenko

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11 Sep · 09:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski

ELO 1631

3-0Final setsLysakowski won

🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko

ELO 1679

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ovcharenko at 54%. The actual result was Michal Lysakowski 3-0 — the underdog won.

Michal Lysakowski — profile →Maksim Ovcharenko — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Ovcharenko favoured — closing 1.65

Upset

Total 76.5

54 points played

Under

Set handicap

Ovcharenko −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Ovcharenko −2.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

8.25

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Lysakowski is favoured to win, below means Maksim Ovcharenko.

▲ Michal Lysakowskipre 49% → final 99%

Maksim Ovcharenko ▼

Biggest swing 69 ptsLysakowski recovered from 31%53 points · 3 games