11 Sept · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1547
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Galus
MG
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1603
FormLWWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Galus
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H49-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (49-31)