11 Sept · 17:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TS
🇨🇿Tomasz Stachera
ELO 1458
FormLWLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Duch
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1643
FormWLLWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Duch
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+185
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+185)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)