11 Sep · 18:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1475
1-3Final setsKral won
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1503
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Kral at 51%. The actual result was Adam Kral 1-3 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Adam Kral favoured — closing 1.65
Total 75.5
71 points played
Set handicap
Adam Kral −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Adam Kral −0.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milan Dvorak is favoured to win, below means Adam Kral.
▲ Milan Dvorakpre 45% → final 99%
Adam Kral ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsDvorak recovered from 28%72 points · 5 games