11 Sep · 19:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1630
0-3Final setsGuzy won
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1694
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Guzy at 51%. The actual result was Karol Guzy 0-3 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Karol Guzy favoured — closing 1.8
Total 78.5
49 points played
Set handicap
Karol Guzy −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Karol Guzy −0.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Duch is favoured to win, below means Karol Guzy.
▲ Adam Duchpre 45% → final 2%
Karol Guzy ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsGuzy recovered from 43%48 points · 3 games