11 Sept · 22:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1528
FormWWWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Guzy
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1694
FormWLWWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Guzy
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~81 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+166
H2H68-43
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (68-43)