12 Sept · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1585
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kanak
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Konvicka
ELO 1480
FormLWLWL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Konvicka🌟Kanak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (60)
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)