12 Sept · 07:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1700
FormLWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Moravec
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1601
FormLWWLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H37-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-23)