12 Sept · 08:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1466
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lysek
TL
🇨🇿Tomas Lysek
ELO 1522
FormWWLWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kantor🌟Lysek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (33)
Fair odds · Lysek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)