12 Sept · 12:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1536
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Volny
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1550
FormWWWLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dzida🌟Volny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (55)
Fair odds · Volny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.