12 Sept · 12:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1598
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pribyl
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1585
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🌟Kanak covers set handicap as underdog 78% (32)
Fair odds · Pribyl
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.